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Netanyahu's high-stakes game in Gaza
Published Saturday 24/11/2012 (updated) 25/11/2012 16:35
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Many key phrases have been presented to explain Israel's latest military onslaught against Gaza, which left scores dead and wounded.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is flexing his muscles in preparation for the Israeli general elections in January, suggested some. It is Israel’s way of testing the administration of Egyptian President Muhammad Mursi, commented others. It was a stern message to Iran, instructed few. Or that Israel is simply assessing its 'deterrence' capabilities. And so on.

But there is more than those ready-to-serve analyses. It has been four years since Israel mixed up the cards through an unhindered show of force. Last time it did so was in 2008-09, in a 22-day war it termed 'Operation Cast Lead'. Then, it killed over 1,400 Palestinians and wounded over 5,000 others. Excluding Israel’s diehard supporters, the general consensus was, including that of many UN and international rights organizations: Israel committed war crimes and crimes against humanity deserving of international tribunals and due retribution.

Of course, none took place. The US government and media stood as an impenetrable shield between Israel's accused war criminals and those daring to level accusations. Four years later little has changed. Then as it is now, Israel was embarking on national elections, and since 'security' is Israel’s enduring strategy whether in national or international politics, it was suddenly realized that Gaza posed a 'security threat', thus had to be suppressed or at least taught a lesson.

Never mind that a truce was in effect and was mostly holding up, that it was Israel that provoked Palestinian factions to retaliate - before the retaliation was itself considered the original act of aggression as willfully validated by mainstream western media.

In 2008, Barack Obama was elected president, and the outgoing George W. Bush administration remained largely 'uninvolved', save for the reiteration of Israel’s right to defend itself against hordes of Palestinian terrorists and such. Some then, suggested that Cast Lead was an Israeli trial balloon to test Obama, whom Israel viewed with much suspicion despite all the groveling he has done at Israeli lobby meetings to assure Israel that a president with a middle name such as 'Hussein' will not dare demand accountability from Israel.

Obama eventually lived up to Israel's expectations, and despite few hiccups in their relations, the new administration was hardly different from its predecessors. Under Obama, Israel remained a top priority for American diplomacy, politics, military and financial aid and more.

However, Israel was still dissatisfied.

Political analysts cite few incidents that made Netanyahu look unfavorably at Obama from the onset. The latter ushered in his foreign policy with the appointment of a Middle East peace envoy, and expected Israel to work towards the resumption of the so-called peace process.

More dangerously however, Obama spoke bluntly for the need to freeze settlement construction, as a necessary first step before the return to the 'negotiations table'. Even Secretary of State Hilary Clinton, who understands well the importance of Israeli support for any ambition US politician, was clear regarding the settlements: President Obama, she said, "wants to see a stop to settlements -- not some settlements, not outposts, not natural-growth exceptions."

Gradually that position weakened, if not entirely reversed. Over the following months and years, the Obama administration retreated to the US' foreign policy comfort zone regarding Israel: give generously (even in times of economic recession), expect nothing in return, and in the meantime ask no questions. But it takes more to placate an ever-demanding government as that of Netanyahu.

The Israeli Prime Minister is himself troubled by fears that his palpable support of the Republican candidate Mitt Romney, and his trademark arrogance and lecturing of Obama regarding Iran, could prove costly during Obama's new term. Not that Obama is likely to be any less enthusiastic about supporting Israel, but the Israeli government is concerned that the US administration might not adopt Israeli foreign policy priorities as if it's an American doctrine, which has been the case for years.

Hours after the election results declared Obama a winner, the Israeli media began censuring the injudiciousness of their prime minister.

Articles with such titles as "So Sorry, President Obama, Please Forgive Netanyahu," (Haaretz) and "Bibi Gambled, We’ll Pay," (Yedioth Ahronoth) became commonplace. Romney’s defeat was particularly sobering for Israel since it’s the first time that the power of the Zionist lobby and the endless millions of their patrons, such as multi-billionaire gambling magnate Sheldon Adelson were rarely as useful in determining election results of this scale.

Truth to be told, Obama is not only unpopular among Israeli political elites, but with the Israeli public as well. "In global polls, Israel is the only country in the world that would have elected Romney over Obama," said ABC, and with a huge margin too.

It was early morning time on Wednesday Nov. 7 in Israel and the occupied territories when the US election results were declared. The Israeli cabinet swung into action, and the Israel army was quickly deployed to seek provocations at the Gaza border.

An earlier incident on Nov. 5, where an apparently mentally unfit man, Ahmad al-Nabaheen was shot dead by Israeli troops, heightened tension, although a truce remained in effect. On Nov. 8, however, Israel sought its casus belli as it moved into Gaza with tanks and attack helicopters.

An early victim was a 12-year-old boy gunned down while playing soccer. Palestinians retaliated, although projectiles inside Israel caused no damage. One Israeli soldier was injured near the border with Gaza and more firing was reported by Palestinian fighters aimed at an Israeli military jeep, injuring four. Two more children were killed in an open soccer field on Nov. 10, prompting more, although still guarded Palestinian retaliation.

And another civilian in Gaza was killed the following day when Israel bombed the funeral tent set up to mourn the victims of past days.

On Nov. 12, Egypt was concluding yet another truce between Israel and resistance factions. But that turned out to be a diplomatic embarrassment for Egypt, as the man who agreed to the text of the truce on the Palestinian side, the leader of the Hamas armed resistance in Gaza Ahmed al-Jaabari, was himself assassinated by an Israeli missile on Nov. 14.

No other meaning can be extracted from al-Jaabari's murder but the fact that Israel had decided to pull the Palestinians into an all-out war.

Scores of Palestinians, many of whom civilians, were killed in the subsequent days. Palestinians extended the range of their projectiles into areas near Tel Aviv and as far as Jerusalem. Three Israelis were reportedly killed.

Israel's obsession with security often, if not always, leads it to create the very conditions that compromise on its own security, so that its leaders may demonstrate the authenticity of their original claim. It is a strange logic that is as old as the state of Israel itself. But the timing of the latest war on Gaza as in the previous one partly meant to push the subject of Israel’s security on the top of the new administration’s agenda, rife with crises and challenges.

No US administration risks initiating its term in office with an open confrontation with Israel. The conventional wisdom in Washington is that in times of war, Israel is right even if it's wrong, as it often is. Not even Barack Hussein Obama is strong enough to change that reasoning.

"We strongly condemn the barrage of rocket fire from Gaza into Israel," said Jay Carney, the White House spokesman. "There is no justification for the violence that Hamas and other terrorist organizations are employing against the people of Israel."

Now that Israel is once more pushing its agenda as an American priority, the time is ripe for further escalation and for more saber-rattling against Iran, Hezbollah and whomever else Israel perceives as an enemy. Israeli causalities will be used to demonstrate Israel's supposed vulnerability, and Palestinian deaths will buttress Netanyahu’s right-wing government as Israel’s unbending guardian against those who continue to pose 'an existential threat' to the Jewish state.

The truth, of course, remains the least relevant.

Ramzy Baroud is the editor of Palestine Chronicle.
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1 ) Israel is moving to the right / Arab ROCKETS ON
24/11/2012 18:34
civilian population will do it every time Israeli learn to HATE ARABS you cannot love those who want to exterminate you and shoot on your homes If Bibi loses-- the next leader will be MUCH MORE TO THE RIGHT!!! the next middle east war is around the cornter HAMAS BETTER STOCK ON AS MANY ROCKETS AS THEY CAN!!!!

2 ) Yehuda Solomon / Israel
26/11/2012 04:22
I must admit there is much truth to what you say. {For comments to a corollary essay, see my comments to "Analysis: The deadly electoral cycle in Israel" [Source: MNA, (updated) 24/11/2012).]} Regarding Obama: Yes, it IS true. The settlement problem was so thorny and sensitive for the U.S. President to deal with he did finally "cave in" (back down) from it, even offering as a last-ditch incentive more fighter planes for us if we'd reconsider. That "carrot" failed and the end result (cont.)

3 ) Yehuda Solomon / Israel
26/11/2012 04:36
made our Prime Minister look like the potentate of America's foreign policy towards Israel. It was perhaps Netanyahu's zenith of victory in dealing with America's position regarding our settlement policy and no doubt had a lasting import on President Obama from that point on, seeing how the U.S. with its anti-settlement stance was trying to extricate itself from boxing itself into a corner after taking (justifiably) the Palestinians' side. As I said in my other comments, yes, we were (cont.)

4 ) Yehuda Solomon / Israel
26/11/2012 04:55
to blame even before our Nov. 14th ceasefire violation of killing al-Jaabari, which was so severe that our resultant Gazan assault backfired on us like hell (as I've said, there were no "victors"--only death and destruction--and anyone who says otherwise is 100%, certifiably crazy). We in Israel who know the truth are very cognizant that in its dealings with the Palestinians America's bite is not only at variance but worse than its bark and the Palestinians can take no more.
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